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The International 2022. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincereloss 0:2
series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Natus Vincere

Puck
Pucksignature
No[o]ne · 13 games
69%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Solo · 12 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
swedenstrong · 12 games
42%
Tiny
Tiny
swedenstrong · 11 games
45%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
laise · 9 games
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Solo · 9 games
44%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
laise · 9 games
78%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
No[o]ne · 8 games
25%

BETBOOM TEAM

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 9 games
33%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
CeMaTheSlayeR · 8 games
38%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
14%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
57%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
33%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
735 picks · 573 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
509 picks · 1029 bans
55%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
485 picks · 644 bans
45%
Marci
Marci
460 picks · 802 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
376 picks · 418 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
333 picks · 164 bans
49%
Zeus
Zeus
329 picks · 390 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
308 picks · 589 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 71%
Hero pool strength55% Natus Vincere
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total78% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:27
Natus Vincere 22%BETBOOM TEAM 78%
The model gave 78% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 30:09.
Game 2prediction correct29:3
Natus Vincere 22%BETBOOM TEAM 78%
The model gave 78% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 27:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 78%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2