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EPL Masters I · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:1
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Amaru Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
ariel · 23 games
57%
Jakiro
Jakiro
VaniLLl · 23 games
39%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 21 game
33%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 20 games
40%
Phoenix
Phoenix
VaniLLl · 20 games
50%
Techies
Techies
ariel · 18 games
44%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Covisnine · 16 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
ariel · 16 games
50%

Amaru Gaming

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 7 games
57%
Rubick
Rubick
Genek · 6 games
50%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Oscar · 6 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Michael · 4 games
25%
Windranger
Windranger
Genek · 4 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Panda · 3 games
0%
Lone Druid
Lone Druidoften banned
K1 · 3 games
67%
Techies
Techies
Panda · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
491 picks · 355 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
378 picks · 224 bans
46%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
348 picks · 640 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
336 picks · 340 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
316 picks · 228 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
304 picks · 294 bans
61%
Pangolier
Pangolier
289 picks · 396 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
289 picks · 322 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 54%
Hero pool strength50% Amaru Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Amaru Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Nemiga Gaming 45%Amaru Gaming 55%
The model gave 55% on Amaru Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Game 2prediction correct
Nemiga Gaming 45%Amaru Gaming 55%
The model gave 55% on Amaru Gaming — the game was taken by Amaru Gaming.
Game 3prediction missed
Nemiga Gaming 45%Amaru Gaming 55%
The model gave 55% on Amaru Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteAmaru Gaming · 55%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3