?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Восточная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 10 games
70%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Malr1ne · 10 games
80%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Hellscream · 9 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 8 games
63%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Hellscream · 8 games
50%
Silencer
Silencersignature
so bad · 8 games
75%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Malr1ne · 8 games
88%
Zeus
Zeussignature
Hellscream · 8 games
63%

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 9 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 6 games
83%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Save- · 5 games
100%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Pure~ · 4 games
75%
Rubick
Rubick
Save- · 4 games
50%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
Pure~ · 4 games
75%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 4 games
100%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Nightfall · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
386 picks · 375 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
342 picks · 348 bans
48%
Rubick
Rubick
317 picks · 224 bans
57%
Mirana
Mirana
276 picks · 280 bans
54%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
203 picks · 148 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
201 picks · 109 bans
49%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
197 picks · 255 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
188 picks · 513 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 78%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total82% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:35
Nemiga Gaming 30%BETBOOM TEAM 70%
The model gave 70% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightKiritych
53% · 142 games49% · 182 games
LinaPure~
Lina
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetCorrupted
48% · 110 games50% · 150 games
DawnbreakerNightfall
Dawnbreaker
Pangolier
PangolierMalr1ne
52% · 219 games50% · 32 games
Outworld DestroyergpK~
Outworld Destroyer
Undying
Undyingso bad
56% · 150 games48% · 218 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorHellscream
48% · 147 games47% · 186 games
ClockwerkTORONTOTOKYO
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct8:34
Nemiga Gaming 30%BETBOOM TEAM 70%
The model gave 70% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 24:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomCorrupted
43% · 99 games52% · 153 games
LeshracgpK~
Leshrac
Lina
LinaKiritych
50% · 200 games54% · 133 games
Primal BeastNightfall
Primal Beast
Tusk
TuskMalr1ne
51% · 243 games51% · 39 games
SpectrePure~
Spectre
Snapfire
SnapfireHellscream
44% · 212 games55% · 295 games
RubickSave-
Rubick
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonso bad
42% · 54 games54% · 188 games
Treant ProtectorTORONTOTOKYO
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 82%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2