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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:1
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Blue Submarineloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Snapfire
Snapfire
Shishak · 17 games
59%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
jesv · 16 games
56%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 16 games
38%
Rubick
Rubick
jesv · 15 games
40%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Shishak · 13 games
38%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
aik · 12 games
58%
Underlord
Underlord
MikSa` · 11 games
36%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
antoha · 10 games
60%

Blue Submarine

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
481 picks · 665 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
427 picks · 499 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
376 picks · 550 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
360 picks · 185 bans
49%
Batrider
Batrider
330 picks · 357 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
329 picks · 433 bans
55%
Invoker
Invoker
312 picks · 854 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
310 picks · 587 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 64%
Hero pool strength52% Blue Submarine
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Blue Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:26
Nemiga Gaming 43%Blue Submarine 57%
The model gave 57% on Blue Submarine — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 33:04.
Game 2prediction correct41:28
Nemiga Gaming 43%Blue Submarine 57%
The model gave 57% on Blue Submarine — the game was taken by Blue Submarine in 46:30.
Game 3prediction missed25:41
Nemiga Gaming 43%Blue Submarine 57%
The model gave 57% on Blue Submarine — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 54:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlue Submarine · 57%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3