Snow Sweet Snow #1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:1series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Brameloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Marsoften banned
Ainkrad · 3 games
Tusk
Lodine · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
Ainkrad · 2 games
Tidehunteroften banned
TheChosenOne · 2 games
Ursaoften banned
tatakae · 2 games
Axe
TheChosenOne · 1 game
Bloodseekeroften banned
tatakae · 1 game
Enchantressoften banned
Lodine · 1 game
Brame
Earth Spirit
CTOMAHEH1 · 4 games
Enigmaoften banned
SkyLark · 3 games
Beastmasteroften banned
SkyLark · 2 games
Enchantressoften banned
SsaSpartan · 2 games
Puckoften banned
W1sh- · 2 games
Ursaoften banned
Focus · 2 games
Bristlebackoften banned
W1sh- · 1 game
Elder Titan
SsaSpartan · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
67 picks · 149 bans
Puck
58 picks · 163 bans
Earth Spirit
55 picks · 46 bans
Void Spirit
48 picks · 95 bans
Undying
45 picks · 68 bans
Phoenix
44 picks · 56 bans
Rubick
44 picks · 24 bans
Monkey King
43 picks · 93 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 33%
Hero pool strength55% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 66%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect