RES Regional Series: EU #1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Dandelionsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Lionsignature
aik · 14 games
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 14 games
Pucksignature
nicky`cool · 12 games
Pugna
aik · 12 games
Techies
aik · 12 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MikSa` · 11 games
Rubick
queezy · 11 games
Batrideroften banned
aik · 10 games
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
495 picks · 782 bans
Mars
454 picks · 713 bans
Batrider
450 picks · 946 bans
Techies
449 picks · 353 bans
Tiny
444 picks · 591 bans
Crystal Maiden
440 picks · 191 bans
Rubick
422 picks · 204 bans
Lion
414 picks · 357 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 40%
Hero pool strength55% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:26
Nemiga Gaming 73%Dandelions 27%
The model gave 73% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 31:45.
Game 2prediction correct24:22
Nemiga Gaming 73%Dandelions 27%
The model gave 73% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 54:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 73%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2