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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Five Beaverswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
aik · 22 games
64%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Lukas · 19 games
68%
Tiny
Tinysignature
queezy · 19 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
jesv · 18 games
39%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
jesv · 17 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MikSa` · 14 games
43%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
nicky`cool · 14 games
36%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Lukas · 13 games
38%

Five Beavers

Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
мистер мораль · 3 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
PERDAN4IK · 2 games
50%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
мистер мораль · 2 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Otaker · 1 game
100%
Jakiro
Jakiro
PERDAN4IK · 1 game
100%
Marci
Marcioften banned
PERDAN4IK · 1 game
0%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Otaker · 1 game
0%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
PERDAN4IK · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
361 picks · 348 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
356 picks · 403 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
341 picks · 257 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
318 picks · 511 bans
48%
Sven
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
279 picks · 252 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
273 picks · 352 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
270 picks · 473 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 56%
Hero pool strength51% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Nemiga Gaming 51%Five Beavers 49%
The model gave 51% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Five Beavers.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 51%
Series resultFive Beavers 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1