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RES Regional Series: EU #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:0
GRIN esportsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
aik · 14 games
79%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 13 games
46%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
queezy · 13 games
62%
Puck
Pucksignature
nicky`cool · 12 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MikSa` · 11 games
36%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
aik · 10 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
queezy · 10 games
40%
Techies
Techies
aik · 9 games
56%

GRIN esports

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
ITALIANO GANGSTA · 7 games
29%
Mars
Marssignature
Moo · 7 games
71%
Doom
Doomoften banned
H1j4ck · 6 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Lodine · 5 games
100%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Moo · 4 games
50%
Luna
Luna
Double King · 4 games
75%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
Double King · 4 games
25%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Bloody Nine · 4 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
465 picks · 746 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
433 picks · 694 bans
53%
Techies
Techies
430 picks · 345 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
422 picks · 548 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
417 picks · 896 bans
56%
Lion
Lion
412 picks · 357 bans
52%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
397 picks · 176 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
390 picks · 193 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 56%
Hero pool strength51% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Nemiga Gaming 59%GRIN esports 41%
The model gave 59% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 59%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1