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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 1:2
series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Hydrawin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Snapfire
Snapfire
Shishak · 17 games
59%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
jesv · 16 games
56%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 16 games
38%
Rubick
Rubick
jesv · 16 games
38%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Shishak · 13 games
38%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
antoha · 12 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
aik · 12 games
58%
Underlord
Underlord
MikSa` · 12 games
33%

Hydra

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
ani-san · 7 games
57%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
selfhate · 7 games
43%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Ethereal · 7 games
29%
Underlord
Underlord
Actor · 7 games
29%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Ethereal · 5 games
60%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Actor · 5 games
20%
Snapfire
Snapfire
ani-san · 5 games
20%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Actor · 4 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
491 picks · 675 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
415 picks · 490 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
360 picks · 527 bans
49%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
349 picks · 181 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
341 picks · 453 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
305 picks · 597 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
304 picks · 481 bans
53%
Alchemist
Alchemist
301 picks · 626 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)28% vs 46%
Hero pool strength53% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total69% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:35
Nemiga Gaming 31%Hydra 69%
The model gave 69% on Hydra — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 44:34.
Game 2prediction correct16:32
Nemiga Gaming 31%Hydra 69%
The model gave 69% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 35:42.
Game 3prediction correct31:16
Nemiga Gaming 31%Hydra 69%
The model gave 69% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 35:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 69%
Series resultHydra 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3