Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Jazzloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Jakiro
VaniLLl · 26 games
Phoenixoften banned
VaniLLl · 21 game
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 18 games
Hoodwink
ariel · 17 games
Puckoften banned
young G · 17 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 15 games
Axe
Covisnine · 14 games
Disruptor
VaniLLl · 14 games
Jazz
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
562 picks · 347 bans
Phoenix
478 picks · 568 bans
Rubick
454 picks · 236 bans
Tiny
436 picks · 366 bans
Pangolier
380 picks · 525 bans
Puck
327 picks · 862 bans
Beastmaster
321 picks · 801 bans
Jakiro
308 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Jazz
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:19
Nemiga Gaming 81%Jazz 19%
The model gave 81% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 51:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 81%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1