?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 22. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Klim Sani4win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 13 games
62%
Lion
Lionsignature
so bad · 10 games
80%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Hellscream · 9 games
78%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
RodjER · 8 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
forcemajor · 7 games
29%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
forcemajor · 7 games
57%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Corrupted · 6 games
67%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Malr1ne · 6 games
33%

Klim Sani4

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
254 picks · 428 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
252 picks · 382 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
251 picks · 362 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
214 picks · 200 bans
46%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
205 picks · 532 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
204 picks · 281 bans
49%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
198 picks · 98 bans
52%
Faceless Void
Faceless Void
183 picks · 434 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 59%
Hero pool strength54% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total54% Klim Sani4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:20
Nemiga Gaming 46%Klim Sani4 54%
The model gave 54% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 23:57.
Game 2prediction correct12:22
Nemiga Gaming 46%Klim Sani4 54%
The model gave 54% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 32:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteKlim Sani4 · 54%
Series resultKlim Sani4 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2