Elite League. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:0
NNNice NPloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Lionsignature
aik · 14 games
Earthshakersignature
Hellscream · 9 games
Pangolieroften banned
Ainkrad · 9 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
forcemajor · 8 games
Dazzlesignature
zenica · 6 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
forcemajor · 6 games
Magnusoften banned
zenica · 6 games
Morphlingsignature
v1olent- · 6 games
Nice NP
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
375 picks · 340 bans
Vengeful Spirit
334 picks · 318 bans
Centaur Warrunner
325 picks · 475 bans
Mars
298 picks · 401 bans
Techies
281 picks · 197 bans
Hoodwink
276 picks · 152 bans
Pangolier
270 picks · 405 bans
Batrider
267 picks · 471 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:18
Nemiga Gaming 64%Nice NP 36%
The model gave 64% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 33:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 64%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1