PGL Wallachia Season 7. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:1series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:1
NVNo Visionloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Storm Spiritsignature
young G · 19 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
bashka · 19 games
Marssignature
Covisnine · 16 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 15 games
Dark Willowsignature
xsvampire · 14 games
Pucksignature
young G · 13 games
Snapfire
xsvampire · 13 games
Underlord
Covisnine · 12 games
No Vision
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
552 picks · 833 bans
Tusk
516 picks · 369 bans
Dragon Knight
478 picks · 644 bans
Centaur Warrunner
458 picks · 581 bans
Shadow Demon
393 picks · 763 bans
Gyrocopter
358 picks · 585 bans
Ember Spirit
345 picks · 545 bans
Mars
342 picks · 482 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% No Vision
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:28
Nemiga Gaming 35%No Vision 65%
The model gave 65% on No Vision — the game was taken by No Vision in 39:38.
Game 2prediction missed35:26
Nemiga Gaming 35%No Vision 65%
The model gave 65% on No Vision — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 51:43.
Game 3prediction missed40:17
Nemiga Gaming 35%No Vision 65%
The model gave 65% on No Vision — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 32:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Vision · 65%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3