The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Novo4ekloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Jakiro
VaniLLl · 23 games
Phoenixoften banned
VaniLLl · 21 game
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 18 games
Hoodwink
ariel · 17 games
Puckoften banned
young G · 16 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 15 games
Axeoften banned
Covisnine · 14 games
Tiny
selfhate · 14 games
Novo4ek
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
605 picks · 389 bans
Rubick
508 picks · 281 bans
Phoenix
480 picks · 578 bans
Tiny
462 picks · 382 bans
Pangolier
418 picks · 585 bans
Puck
342 picks · 946 bans
Tusk
337 picks · 277 bans
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 490 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Novo4ek
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total90% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Nemiga Gaming 90%Novo4ek 10%
The model gave 90% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 90%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1