DreamLeague Season 25. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Quantum Teamwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Snapfire
Shishak · 14 games
Hoodwink
Shishak · 11 games
Pangolieroften banned
Miyaoo · 11 games
Sven
Lowskill · 10 games
Clockwerkoften banned
antoha · 7 games
Elder Titansignature
forcemajor · 7 games
Jakiro
forcemajor · 7 games
Slardaroften banned
Miyaoo · 7 games
Quantum Team
Magnusoften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 8 games
Morphlingoften banned
bashka · 7 games
Phoenixsignature
Fezor · 7 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Somnia · 6 games
Lunaoften banned
bashka · 6 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Rvze · 6 games
Snapfire
Somnia · 5 games
Dark Willow
Somnia · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
391 picks · 495 bans
Muerta
376 picks · 292 bans
Tusk
361 picks · 394 bans
Pangolier
340 picks · 552 bans
Batrider
320 picks · 385 bans
Beastmaster
318 picks · 727 bans
Lion
313 picks · 151 bans
Phoenix
292 picks · 270 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 45%
Hero pool strength53% Quantum Team
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total52% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:36
Nemiga Gaming 50%Quantum Team 50%
The model gave 50% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Quantum Team in 45:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sand KingCovisnine
Phantom Assassinbashka
Invokerспортик
Templar AssassinRvze
BatriderShishak
PhoenixAnkou
Zeusmonodrama
Crystal MaidenFezor
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 52%
Series resultQuantum Team 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1