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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Spirit Academyloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
VaniLLl · 23 games
30%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
VaniLLl · 21 game
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
ariel · 18 games
44%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 18 games
39%
Puck
Puckoften banned
young G · 16 games
50%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Covisnine · 15 games
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 15 games
40%
Disruptor
Disruptor
VaniLLl · 14 games
50%

Team Spirit Academy

Jakiro
Jakiro
kyford · 18 games
28%
Lion
Lion
Aidar · 16 games
44%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Aidar · 13 games
23%
Warlock
Warlock
kyford · 13 games
31%
Dazzle
Dazzle
kyford · 11 games
36%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Aidar · 11 games
27%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
kae · 10 games
50%
Techies
Techiessignature
Aidar · 10 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
625 picks · 412 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
534 picks · 298 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
484 picks · 583 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
469 picks · 393 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
429 picks · 616 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
349 picks · 993 bans
57%
Tusk
Tusk
344 picks · 292 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
336 picks · 522 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 29%
Hero pool strength54% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total90% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:14
Nemiga Gaming 76%Team Spirit Academy 24%
The model gave 76% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 40:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingselfhate
49% · 38 games43% · 169 games
Brewmasterkae
Brewmaster
Puck
Puckyoung G
54% · 154 games48% · 35 games
Earth Spirit86
Earth Spirit
Snapfire
SnapfireCovisnine
54% · 113 games52% · 94 games
GrimstrokeAidar
Grimstroke
Tusk
Tuskariel
42% · 200 games56% · 337 games
Pugnakyford
Pugna
Disruptor
DisruptorFishman
51% · 130 games
Game 2prediction correct38:31
Nemiga Gaming 75%Team Spirit Academy 25%
The model gave 75% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 1:03:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
Doomselfhate
50% · 75 games49% · 89 games
Kunkka86
Kunkka
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerCovisnine
47% · 84 games57% · 233 games
Centaur Warrunnerkae
Centaur Warrunner
Puck
Puckyoung G
52% · 174 games51% · 70 games
GrimstrokeAidar
Grimstroke
Enchantress
EnchantressFishman
44% · 58 games42% · 35 games
Ogre Magikyford
Ogre Magi
Techies
Techiesariel
50% · 36 games
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 90%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2