CCT Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:1series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Tealoss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Crystal Maiden
aik · 21 game
Tinyoften banned
queezy · 21 game
Rubick
queezy · 20 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Lukas · 19 games
Batridersignature
aik · 17 games
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 14 games
Pugnasignature
queezy · 13 games
Lunasignature
v1olent- · 12 games
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
417 picks · 616 bans
Gyrocopter
371 picks · 388 bans
Crystal Maiden
366 picks · 143 bans
Centaur Warrunner
361 picks · 470 bans
Rubick
318 picks · 154 bans
Pangolier
317 picks · 578 bans
Dark Willow
316 picks · 341 bans
Dragon Knight
316 picks · 654 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:27
Nemiga Gaming 61%Team Tea 39%
The model gave 61% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 43:07.
Game 2prediction missed10:39
Nemiga Gaming 61%Team Tea 39%
The model gave 61% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Team Tea in 26:54.
Game 3prediction correct46:18
Nemiga Gaming 61%Team Tea 39%
The model gave 61% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 34:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 61%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3