DreamLeague Season 27. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:1series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Teawin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Storm Spiritsignature
young G · 23 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
bashka · 17 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Covisnine · 14 games
Jakiro
monodrama · 14 games
Marsoften banned
Covisnine · 14 games
Dark Willowsignature
xsvampire · 13 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
bashka · 13 games
Windranger
xsvampire · 13 games
Team Tea
Hoodwink
dEsire · 2 games
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 2 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Worick · 2 games
Slardar
Cloud · 2 games
Abaddonoften banned
Kami · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
Cloud · 1 game
Chenoften banned
SoNNeikO · 1 game
Elder Titan
SoNNeikO · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
298 picks · 192 bans
Puck
295 picks · 684 bans
Dark Willow
260 picks · 110 bans
Tusk
258 picks · 258 bans
Dawnbreaker
257 picks · 637 bans
Nature's Prophet
251 picks · 531 bans
Disruptor
247 picks · 211 bans
Marci
245 picks · 561 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 71%
Hero pool strength58% Team Tea
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total75% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:23
Nemiga Gaming 25%Team Tea 75%
The model gave 75% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 32:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 75%
Series resultTeam Tea 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1