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Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 1:2
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Tickleswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
Heaven · 30 games
53%
Mars
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 28 games
39%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Heaven · 20 games
45%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Heaven · 20 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Heaven · 19 games
42%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Lodine · 19 games
63%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Kiritych · 18 games
61%
Pangolier
Pangolier
Ainkrad · 18 games
56%

Team Tickles

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
376 picks · 533 bans
47%
Bane
Bane
370 picks · 266 bans
60%
Snapfire
Snapfire
334 picks · 205 bans
44%
Weaver
Weaver
316 picks · 732 bans
56%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
247 picks · 340 bans
50%
Io
Io
241 picks · 609 bans
51%
Disruptor
Disruptor
239 picks · 155 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
238 picks · 309 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 67%
Hero pool strength52% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Team Tickles
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct4:20
Nemiga Gaming 39%Team Tickles 61%
The model gave 61% on Team Tickles — the game was taken by Team Tickles in 25:18.
Game 2prediction missed28:26
Nemiga Gaming 39%Team Tickles 61%
The model gave 61% on Team Tickles — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 41:51.
Game 3prediction correct2:17
Nemiga Gaming 39%Team Tickles 61%
The model gave 61% on Team Tickles — the game was taken by Team Tickles in 26:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tickles · 61%
Series resultTeam Tickles 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3