BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:1series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 0:1
TTraffKillaswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Crystal Maiden
aik · 24 games
Rubick
jesv · 21 game
Batrideroften banned
jesv · 20 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Lukas · 20 games
Tinysignature
queezy · 19 games
Beastmasteroften banned
MikSa` · 14 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
nicky`cool · 14 games
Svenoften banned
Lowskill · 13 games
TraffKillas
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
374 picks · 357 bans
Hoodwink
363 picks · 406 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 256 bans
Pangolier
332 picks · 525 bans
Sven
296 picks · 306 bans
Phoenix
290 picks · 500 bans
Ember Spirit
282 picks · 596 bans
Windranger
280 picks · 343 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:7
Nemiga Gaming 70%TraffKillas 30%
The model gave 70% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by TraffKillas in 29:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 70%
Series resultTraffKillas 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1