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BTS Pro Series Season 8. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportswin 2:0
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BOOM Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Neon Esports

Mirana
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 28 games
64%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
PlayHard · 27 games
63%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Skem · 23 games
57%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Yopaj · 21 game
52%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Yopaj · 19 games
53%
Tusk
Tusk
Jaunuel · 19 games
47%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Deth · 15 games
60%
Lion
Lion
Jaunuel · 15 games
47%

BOOM Esports

Lion
Lion
Hyde · 18 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Khezcute · 17 games
59%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 9 games
56%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Mikoto · 9 games
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Hyde · 8 games
63%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Hyde · 8 games
75%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Khezcute · 7 games
43%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Dreamocel · 7 games
86%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
380 picks · 171 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
349 picks · 127 bans
48%
Lina
Lina
261 picks · 435 bans
52%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
260 picks · 524 bans
58%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
254 picks · 343 bans
47%
Luna
Luna
253 picks · 345 bans
51%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
250 picks · 245 bans
54%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
237 picks · 496 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 64%
Hero pool strength51% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total59% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:25
Neon Esports 47%BOOM Esports 53%
The model gave 53% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 30:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaMikoto
58% · 137 games40% · 88 games
GyrocopterPalos
Gyrocopter
Faceless Void
Faceless Void458
52% · 78 games49% · 15 games
ZeusYopaj
Zeus
Tidehunter
Tidehunterxiaoyu154
44% · 137 games43% · 263 games
MarsFbz
Mars
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinNARMAN
62% · 170 games48% · 155 games
MiranaPlayHard
Mirana
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonJaunuel
68% · 70 games43% · 71 game
OmniknightSkem
Omniknight
Game 2prediction missed38:32
Neon Esports 44%BOOM Esports 56%
The model gave 56% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 44:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
Lycan458
52% · 55 games49% · 22 games
MagnusPalos
Magnus
Night Stalker
Night Stalkerxiaoyu154
53% · 38 games43% · 34 games
KunkkaYopaj
Kunkka
Monkey King
Monkey KingMikoto
57% · 86 games45% · 115 games
PangolierFbz
Pangolier
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightNARMAN
48% · 83 games57% · 77 games
MiranaPlayHard
Mirana
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerJaunuel
33% · 11 games49% · 25 games
BaneSkem
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 59%
Series resultNeon Esports 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2