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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Neon Esportswin 1:0
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Go alongloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Neon Esports

Rubick
Rubick
Hishge · 7 games
57%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ken · 5 games
60%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Ken · 5 games
0%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
PlayHard · 4 games
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
Ken · 4 games
75%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
FortuneSoul · 3 games
33%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Ken · 3 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Hishge · 2 games
50%

Go along

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Killa · 3 games
67%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
TK · 3 games
33%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
TK · 2 games
100%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Killa · 2 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Killa · 2 games
100%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
TK · 2 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
TK · 2 games
50%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Killa · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
246 picks · 419 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
224 picks · 317 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
211 picks · 323 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
196 picks · 181 bans
47%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
195 picks · 97 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
192 picks · 265 bans
49%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
185 picks · 358 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
177 picks · 503 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Go along
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Neon Esports 63%Go along 37%
The model gave 63% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 63%
Series resultNeon Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1