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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. ЮВА. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Neon Esportswin 2:0
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
InterActive Philippinesloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Neon Esports

Silencer
Silencer
Hated · 8 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Hated · 6 games
33%
Tusk
Tusk
PlayHard · 6 games
17%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Enryu · 5 games
60%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
FortuneSoul · 5 games
60%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
FortuneSoul · 5 games
40%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Se · 5 games
20%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Se · 4 games
50%

InterActive Philippines

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
790 picks · 548 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
568 picks · 398 bans
52%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
527 picks · 569 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
523 picks · 436 bans
48%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
448 picks · 728 bans
56%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
416 picks · 809 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
406 picks · 293 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
365 picks · 852 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 56%
Hero pool strength53% InterActive Philippines
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:11
Neon Esports 59%InterActive Philippines 41%
The model gave 59% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 29:49.
Game 2prediction correct43:14
Neon Esports 59%InterActive Philippines 41%
The model gave 59% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 27:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 59%
Series resultNeon Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2