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PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportswin 2:0
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Neon Esports

Mirana
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 24 games
63%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
PlayHard · 22 games
59%
Puck
Pucksignature
Yopaj · 21 game
62%
Sand King
Sand King
Yopaj · 20 games
55%
Tusk
Tusk
Jaunuel · 16 games
56%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Skem · 14 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
PlayHard · 14 games
79%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Yopaj · 13 games
46%

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 12 games
75%
Puck
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 12 games
58%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 9 games
78%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 9 games
44%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
343 · 7 games
43%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
AlaCrity · 7 games
29%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Meracle · 6 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Poloson · 6 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
464 picks · 182 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
364 picks · 205 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
351 picks · 558 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
334 picks · 824 bans
48%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
315 picks · 473 bans
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
309 picks · 603 bans
58%
Tiny
Tiny
306 picks · 241 bans
51%
Enchantress
Enchantress
286 picks · 362 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total53% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct47:26
Neon Esports 53%Nigma Galaxy SEA 47%
The model gave 53% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 46:28.
Game 2prediction correct47:20
Neon Esports 53%Nigma Galaxy SEA 47%
The model gave 53% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 40:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 53%
Series resultNeon Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2