BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportswin 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team SMGloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Neon Esports
Marssignature
Enryu · 20 games
Tidehuntersignature
Enryu · 20 games
Lionsignature
NARMAN · 19 games
Kunkkaoften banned
MamangDaya · 15 games
Queen of Painsignature
Mikoto · 14 games
Gyrocopter
Unknown- · 13 games
Mirana
NARMAN · 12 games
Weaveroften banned
NARMAN · 12 games
Team SMG
Earthshakersignature
AhFu · 30 games
Bloodseekersignature
Roddgeee · 20 games
Grimstroke
AhFu · 15 games
Linasignature
Moon · 14 games
Monkey Kingsignature
MidOne · 14 games
Elder Titan
AhFu · 12 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Moon · 12 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Moon · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
549 picks · 385 bans
Queen of Pain
462 picks · 560 bans
Mars
447 picks · 633 bans
Weaver
430 picks · 820 bans
Snapfire
360 picks · 180 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 566 bans
Kunkka
341 picks · 535 bans
Wraith King
278 picks · 330 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 42%
Hero pool strength54% Team SMG
Head-to-head4 – 3
Model total57% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 57%
Series resultNeon Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect