ESL One Bangkok 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Neutralcamploss 0:1series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:1
DDrago_Kingswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Neutralcamp
Invokeroften banned
Panda · 2 games
Alchemistoften banned
chempik · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
krol9ash · 1 game
Dawnbreaker
krol9ash · 1 game
Hoodwink
Delight · 1 game
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Delight · 1 game
Phoenix
Delight · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Panda · 1 game
Drago_Kings
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
422 picks · 527 bans
Clockwerk
371 picks · 364 bans
Pangolier
321 picks · 448 bans
Luna
311 picks · 362 bans
Enchantress
300 picks · 566 bans
Dark Willow
273 picks · 144 bans
Dragon Knight
261 picks · 344 bans
Shadow Demon
255 picks · 946 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 67%
Hero pool strength54% Neutralcamp
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Drago_Kings
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Neutralcamp 47%Drago_Kings 53%
The model gave 53% on Drago_Kings — the game was taken by Drago_Kings.
Model check result
Model favoriteDrago_Kings · 53%
Series resultDrago_Kings 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1