The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionNNGNBloss 0:2
series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Game Masterwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NGNB
No games played over 6 months.
Game Master
Dragon Knightoften banned
Monet · 4 games
Largooften banned
TK · 4 games
Marsoften banned
JT- · 4 games
Earth Spirit
7e · 3 games
Magnus
JT- · 3 games
Nyx Assassin
Pyw · 3 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Kaka · 3 games
Shadow Shaman
Kaka · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
629 picks · 416 bans
Rubick
537 picks · 300 bans
Phoenix
485 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
471 picks · 396 bans
Pangolier
431 picks · 621 bans
Puck
351 picks · 999 bans
Tusk
346 picks · 296 bans
Ember Spirit
340 picks · 525 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Game Master
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Game Master
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:34
NGNB 29%Game Master 71%
The model gave 71% on Game Master — the game was taken by Game Master in 42:45.
Game 2prediction correct10:46
NGNB 29%Game Master 71%
The model gave 71% on Game Master — the game was taken by Game Master in 23:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteGame Master · 71%
Series resultGame Master 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2