IESF World Championship 2021. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Нидерландыwin 2:0series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ММальтаloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Нидерланды
No games played over 6 months.
Мальта
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
368 picks · 179 bans
Hoodwink
331 picks · 121 bans
Lina
272 picks · 506 bans
Mars
262 picks · 434 bans
Luna
255 picks · 341 bans
Pangolier
254 picks · 341 bans
Nyx Assassin
239 picks · 512 bans
Shadow Demon
230 picks · 236 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Нидерланды
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Мальта
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteМальта · 56%
Series resultНидерланды 2:0
Series predictionmissed