CCT Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Night Pulseloss 0:2series probability
92%8%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Apple City Gangwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Night Pulse
Jakiro
Kidaro · 14 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Worick · 14 games
Morphlingsignature
Kami · 14 games
Tinyoften banned
Worick · 14 games
Enigmasignature
Davai · 13 games
Lichsignature
Kidaro · 13 games
Muerta
dEsire · 13 games
Pangoliersignature
Worick · 10 games
Apple City Gang
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
503 picks · 652 bans
Phoenix
498 picks · 796 bans
Clockwerk
480 picks · 480 bans
Batrider
454 picks · 552 bans
Muerta
423 picks · 363 bans
Magnus
418 picks · 1007 bans
Gyrocopter
393 picks · 763 bans
Bristleback
387 picks · 911 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Night Pulse
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total92% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Night Pulse 92%Apple City Gang 8%
The model gave 92% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Apple City Gang.
Game 2prediction missed
Night Pulse 92%Apple City Gang 8%
The model gave 92% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Apple City Gang.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 92%
Series resultApple City Gang 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2