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CCT Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Night Pulsewin 2:1
series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Hydraloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Night Pulse

Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
JANTER · 23 games
52%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 22 games
45%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Hduo · 19 games
47%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Kami · 18 games
56%
Ursa
Ursasignature
V-Tune · 17 games
71%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Kami · 16 games
63%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Hduo · 16 games
56%
Sven
Svensignature
V-Tune · 16 games
69%

Hydra

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
DkFogas · 2 games
50%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Dominic · 1 game
0%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Dominic · 1 game
100%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 1 game
0%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
xsvampire · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
438 picks · 370 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
404 picks · 449 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
389 picks · 876 bans
54%
Weaver
Weaver
387 picks · 828 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
370 picks · 768 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
360 picks · 508 bans
47%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
339 picks · 506 bans
57%
Jakiro
Jakiro
328 picks · 247 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 47%
Hero pool strength55% Night Pulse
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Night Pulse 84%Hydra 16%
The model gave 84% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Hydra.
Game 2prediction correct
Night Pulse 84%Hydra 16%
The model gave 84% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse.
Game 3prediction correct
Night Pulse 84%Hydra 16%
The model gave 84% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 84%
Series resultNight Pulse 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3