CCT Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Night Pulsewin 2:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Jigglinloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Night Pulse
Jakiro
Hduo · 17 games
Hoodwink
JANTER · 14 games
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 14 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Worick · 11 games
Morphlingsignature
Kami · 11 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Worick · 10 games
Enchantressoften banned
Hduo · 9 games
Invokeroften banned
Worick · 9 games
Jigglin
Batridersignature
Lelis · 8 games
Earth Spiritsignature
Copy · 7 games
Tusksignature
Se · 6 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
423 · 5 games
Muerta
Lelis · 5 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Se · 5 games
Meepooften banned
423 · 4 games
Razoroften banned
423 · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
488 picks · 419 bans
Phoenix
457 picks · 548 bans
Batrider
449 picks · 563 bans
Clockwerk
447 picks · 558 bans
Lion
430 picks · 232 bans
Gyrocopter
424 picks · 789 bans
Tiny
403 picks · 441 bans
Magnus
390 picks · 824 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 62%
Hero pool strength57% Jigglin
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total66% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:8
Night Pulse 58%Jigglin 42%
The model gave 58% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 37:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeKami
TimbersawCopy
TinyWorick
Razor423
EnigmaDavai
MagnusMinD_ContRoL
EarthshakerdEsire
MuertaLelis
LichKidaro
TuskSe
Game 2prediction correct30:3
Night Pulse 58%Jigglin 42%
The model gave 58% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 24:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MagnusKami
Bloodseeker423
TimbersawDavai
TinyCopy
Ember SpiritWorick
BristlebackMinD_ContRoL
EnchantressKidaro
Shadow DemonSe
HoodwinkdEsire
TuskLelis
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 66%
Series resultNight Pulse 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2