CCT Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Night Pulsewin 2:0series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PPantheonloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Night Pulse
Hoodwinkoften banned
JANTER · 23 games
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 22 games
Jakiro
Hduo · 19 games
Doomoften banned
Kami · 18 games
Ursasignature
V-Tune · 17 games
Morphlingsignature
Kami · 16 games
Phoenixoften banned
Hduo · 16 games
Svensignature
V-Tune · 16 games
Pantheon
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
440 picks · 368 bans
Hoodwink
418 picks · 461 bans
Tiny
389 picks · 879 bans
Weaver
389 picks · 837 bans
Phoenix
370 picks · 768 bans
Pangolier
363 picks · 533 bans
Clockwerk
341 picks · 510 bans
Ember Spirit
326 picks · 634 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Night Pulse
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total91% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Night Pulse 91%Pantheon 9%
The model gave 91% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse.
Game 2prediction correct
Night Pulse 91%Pantheon 9%
The model gave 91% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 91%
Series resultNight Pulse 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2