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CCT Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Night Pulsewin 2:0
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Passion UAloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Night Pulse

Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
JANTER · 23 games
52%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 22 games
45%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Hduo · 19 games
47%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Kami · 18 games
56%
Ursa
Ursasignature
V-Tune · 17 games
71%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Kami · 16 games
63%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Hduo · 16 games
56%
Sven
Svensignature
V-Tune · 16 games
69%

Passion UA

Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Fernans · 9 games
44%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
niche · 8 games
63%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Fernans · 7 games
14%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Batyuk · 7 games
57%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Batyuk · 6 games
83%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Batyuk · 5 games
20%
Chen
Chenoften banned
flacko · 5 games
80%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
flacko · 5 games
20%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
437 picks · 370 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
401 picks · 449 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
389 picks · 875 bans
54%
Weaver
Weaver
384 picks · 827 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
370 picks · 768 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
356 picks · 504 bans
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
336 picks · 505 bans
57%
Jakiro
Jakiro
330 picks · 248 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 64%
Hero pool strength54% Night Pulse
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total73% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Night Pulse 73%Passion UA 27%
The model gave 73% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse.
Game 2prediction correct
Night Pulse 73%Passion UA 27%
The model gave 73% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 73%
Series resultNight Pulse 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2