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RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Night Pulseloss 1:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Yellow Submarineloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Night Pulse

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
JANTER · 15 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 14 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Corrupted · 7 games
29%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Corrupted · 7 games
57%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
Corrupted · 6 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
JANTER · 5 games
80%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Kami · 5 games
40%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Kami · 5 games
40%

Yellow Submarine

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
emptiness · 32 games
63%
Techies
Techies
rue · 28 games
46%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
erase · 22 games
45%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Satanic · 21 game
52%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Satanic · 21 game
52%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
asdekor_r · 20 games
35%
Mars
Marsoften banned
emptiness · 18 games
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
rue · 18 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
484 picks · 214 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
443 picks · 630 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
417 picks · 736 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
397 picks · 556 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
395 picks · 159 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
386 picks · 334 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
369 picks · 749 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
341 picks · 552 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 51%
Hero pool strength51% Night Pulse
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:40
Night Pulse 52%Yellow Submarine 48%
The model gave 52% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 1:02:20.
Game 2prediction missed20:29
Night Pulse 52%Yellow Submarine 48%
The model gave 52% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 38:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 52%
Accuracy by game1 of 2