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BTS Pro Series Season 8. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAwin 2:0
series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Army Geniusesloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 20 games
70%
Puck
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 17 games
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Meracle · 13 games
46%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 12 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Jhocam · 11 games
64%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Poloson · 10 games
70%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
inYourdreaM · 9 games
67%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Meracle · 8 games
63%

Army Geniuses

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Lym- · 15 games
53%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
woMy · 12 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
Lym- · 11 games
45%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
woMy · 8 games
25%
Mars
Marsoften banned
woMy · 8 games
13%
Axe
Axeoften banned
db- · 7 games
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
MamangDaya · 7 games
29%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Lym- · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
376 picks · 172 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
346 picks · 125 bans
47%
Lina
Lina
267 picks · 473 bans
52%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
259 picks · 524 bans
57%
Luna
Luna
252 picks · 350 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
246 picks · 418 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
240 picks · 301 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
236 picks · 328 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 27%
Hero pool strength60% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total87% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:42
Nigma Galaxy SEA 74%Army Geniuses 26%
The model gave 74% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 53:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerinYourdreaM
50% · 28 games54% · 12 games
Naga Sirendb-
Naga Siren
Batrider
BatriderAlaCrity
55% · 53 games47% · 103 games
TinyMamangDaya
Tiny
Dark Seer
Dark SeerMeracle
50% · 41 game66% · 12 games
VenomancerwoMy
Venomancer
Lich
LichPoloson
57% · 3 games44% · 119 games
Earth SpiritLym-
Earth Spirit
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinJhocam
52% · 121 game
Game 2prediction correct31:19
Nigma Galaxy SEA 75%Army Geniuses 25%
The model gave 75% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 33:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlinginYourdreaM
44% · 83 games42% · 50 games
Anti-Magedb-
Anti-Mage
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritAlaCrity
52% · 86 games48% · 52 games
LycanwoMy
Lycan
Abaddon
AbaddonMeracle
57% · 88 games47% · 130 games
TidehunterMamangDaya
Tidehunter
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritPoloson
59% · 20 games50% · 209 games
PhoenixLym-
Phoenix
Lion
LionJhocam
56% · 164 games
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 87%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2