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BTS Pro Series Season 8. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 0:2
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BOOM Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 19 games
68%
Puck
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 17 games
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Meracle · 13 games
46%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 12 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Jhocam · 11 games
64%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Poloson · 10 games
70%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
inYourdreaM · 9 games
67%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Meracle · 8 games
63%

BOOM Esports

Lion
Lion
Hyde · 18 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Khezcute · 17 games
59%
Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 10 games
60%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Mikoto · 9 games
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Hyde · 8 games
63%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Hyde · 8 games
75%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Khezcute · 7 games
43%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Dreamocel · 7 games
86%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
379 picks · 171 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
348 picks · 125 bans
48%
Lina
Lina
264 picks · 440 bans
52%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
260 picks · 526 bans
58%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
253 picks · 340 bans
47%
Luna
Luna
251 picks · 347 bans
51%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
250 picks · 247 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
238 picks · 403 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total56% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:36
Nigma Galaxy SEA 53%BOOM Esports 47%
The model gave 53% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 33:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritAlaCrity
51% · 108 games55% · 87 games
BloodseekerPalos
Bloodseeker
Medusa
MedusainYourdreaM
49% · 87 games47% · 44 games
LycanFbz
Lycan
Night Stalker
Night StalkerMeracle
50% · 45 games51% · 134 games
Earth SpiritYopaj
Earth Spirit
Rubick
RubickJhocam
49% · 96 games45% · 132 games
PangolierPlayHard
Pangolier
Elder Titan
Elder TitanPoloson
52% · 92 games53% · 31 game
BaneSkem
Bane
Game 2prediction missed24:43
Nigma Galaxy SEA 51%BOOM Esports 49%
The model gave 51% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 43:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KinginYourdreaM
53% · 168 games48% · 126 games
BloodseekerPalos
Bloodseeker
Void Spirit
Void SpiritAlaCrity
53% · 381 game57% · 306 games
PuckYopaj
Puck
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld DestroyerMeracle
41% · 47 games49% · 242 games
MarsFbz
Mars
Pangolier
PangolierJhocam
52% · 250 games50% · 141 game
MiranaPlayHard
Mirana
Bane
BanePoloson
44% · 25 games45% · 56 games
IoSkem
Io
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 56%
Series resultBOOM Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2