BTS Pro Series Season 11. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAwin 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Execrationloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nigma Galaxy SEA
No games played over 6 months.
Execration
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 14 games
Bane
RR · 13 games
Ogre Magi
RR · 11 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Bob · 10 games
Grimstroke
RR · 9 games
Batrideroften banned
Bob · 8 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 8 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Bob · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
457 picks · 274 bans
Mars
433 picks · 589 bans
Tiny
402 picks · 467 bans
Death Prophet
348 picks · 760 bans
Sand King
346 picks · 469 bans
Ember Spirit
322 picks · 488 bans
Storm Spirit
302 picks · 439 bans
Pangolier
294 picks · 440 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 38%
Hero pool strength56% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total55% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:36
Nigma Galaxy SEA 55%Execration 45%
The model gave 55% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Execration in 39:53.
Game 2prediction missed36:21
Nigma Galaxy SEA 55%Execration 45%
The model gave 55% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Execration in 41:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 55%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2