BTS Pro Series Season 6. ЮВА · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nigma Galaxy SEA
Ember Spiritsignature
AlaCrity · 10 games
Ogre Magi
343 · 9 games
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 9 games
Juggernautoften banned
AlaCrity · 8 games
Troll Warlordsignature
Ghost · 8 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 7 games
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 7 games
Snapfire
343 · 6 games
Omega Esports
Grimstrokesignature
cml · 15 games
Void Spiritsignature
Mac · 15 games
Tiny
Tino- · 13 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Sam_H · 11 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
cml · 10 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Sam_H · 9 games
Death Prophetoften banned
cml · 9 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Mac · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
390 picks · 214 bans
Puck
390 picks · 1006 bans
Mars
381 picks · 634 bans
Grimstroke
365 picks · 358 bans
Snapfire
328 picks · 185 bans
Tiny
292 picks · 207 bans
Tusk
291 picks · 221 bans
Death Prophet
276 picks · 611 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 53%
Hero pool strength52% Omega Esports
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total52% Omega Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega Esports · 52%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 2:1
Series predictionmissed