BTS Pro Series Season 11. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAwin 2:0series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PPatriotsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nigma Galaxy SEA
No games played over 6 months.
Patriots
Chaos Knightoften banned
Jikroy · 2 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
dalul · 2 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Lym- · 2 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Jikroy · 1 game
Earth Spirit
Lym- · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
MamangDaya · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
MamangDaya · 1 game
Necrophosoften banned
MamangDaya · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
458 picks · 274 bans
Mars
436 picks · 594 bans
Tiny
403 picks · 470 bans
Sand King
353 picks · 473 bans
Death Prophet
350 picks · 764 bans
Ember Spirit
328 picks · 496 bans
Storm Spirit
307 picks · 448 bans
Pangolier
296 picks · 445 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 29%
Hero pool strength52% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:40
Nigma Galaxy SEA 80%Patriots 20%
The model gave 80% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Patriots in 55:32.
Game 2prediction missed42:20
Nigma Galaxy SEA 80%Patriots 20%
The model gave 80% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Patriots in 36:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 80%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2