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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO3
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAwin 2:1
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Dloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 12 games
75%
Puck
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 12 games
58%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 9 games
78%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 8 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
343 · 7 games
43%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
AlaCrity · 7 games
29%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Meracle · 6 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Poloson · 6 games
100%

Team D

Oracle
Oracleoften banned
Ponlo · 3 games
0%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Ponlo · 1 game
0%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
vtFαded · 1 game
100%
Axe
Axeoften banned
vtFαded · 1 game
100%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
vtFαded · 1 game
100%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
vtFαded · 1 game
0%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
Ponlo · 1 game
100%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
vtFαded · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
426 picks · 170 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
314 picks · 523 bans
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
309 picks · 465 bans
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
298 picks · 626 bans
57%
Puck
Puck
298 picks · 749 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
293 picks · 163 bans
53%
Enchantress
Enchantress
276 picks · 362 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
271 picks · 219 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 29%
Hero pool strength56% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:37
Nigma Galaxy SEA 67%Team D 33%
The model gave 67% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Team D in 46:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunainYourdreaM
41% · 18 games50% · 110 games
Ancient ApparitionPonlo
Ancient Apparition
Doom
DoomAlaCrity
58% · 15 games
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderMeracle
60% · 6 games
Lion
LionJhocam
48% · 63 games
Undying
UndyingPoloson
50% · 8 games
Game 2prediction correct29:9
Nigma Galaxy SEA 65%Team D 35%
The model gave 65% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 39:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Spectre
SpectreinYourdreaM
64% · 24 games53% · 166 games
Ancient ApparitionPonlo
Ancient Apparition
Puck
PuckAlaCrity
36% · 29 games
Batrider
BatriderMeracle
52% · 21 game
Enchantress
EnchantressPoloson
36% · 29 games
Lion
LionJhocam
48% · 63 games
Game 3prediction correct40:7
Nigma Galaxy SEA 64%Team D 36%
The model gave 64% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 29:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracinYourdreaM
40% · 26 games57% · 119 games
Ancient ApparitionPonlo
Ancient Apparition
Void Spirit
Void SpiritAlaCrity
42% · 29 games
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightMeracle
52% · 21 game
Enchantress
EnchantressPoloson
36% · 29 games
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonJhocam
44% · 14 games
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 76%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3