Gamers Without Borders 2022. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAwin 2:1series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:1
UD Vessuwanloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nigma Galaxy SEA
No games played over 6 months.
UD Vessuwan
Kunkkaoften banned
inYourdreaM · 14 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 13 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Poloson · 12 games
Snapfire
Poloson · 12 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 11 games
Weaveroften banned
Jhocam · 11 games
Lionsignature
Poloson · 10 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Jhocam · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
434 picks · 273 bans
Mars
424 picks · 566 bans
Tiny
383 picks · 447 bans
Death Prophet
348 picks · 724 bans
Sand King
322 picks · 441 bans
Ember Spirit
316 picks · 466 bans
Pangolier
283 picks · 422 bans
Storm Spirit
273 picks · 417 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 43%
Hero pool strength52% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 74%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 2:1
Series predictioncorrect