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BTS Pro Series Season 8. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAwin 2:0
series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 19 games
68%
Puck
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 17 games
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Meracle · 13 games
46%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 12 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Jhocam · 11 games
64%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Poloson · 10 games
70%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
inYourdreaM · 9 games
67%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Meracle · 8 games
63%

Yangon Galacticos

Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
33%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
100%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
0%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
50%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
100%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
100%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 1 game
0%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
373 picks · 172 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
346 picks · 124 bans
47%
Lina
Lina
266 picks · 469 bans
52%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
259 picks · 523 bans
57%
Luna
Luna
252 picks · 348 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
244 picks · 416 bans
48%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
236 picks · 245 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
235 picks · 328 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 33%
Hero pool strength57% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total78% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct47:40
Nigma Galaxy SEA 64%Yangon Galacticos 36%
The model gave 64% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 41:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KinginYourdreaM
48% · 38 games47% · 44 games
Phantom LancerKsh
Phantom Lancer
Tiny
TinyAlaCrity
52% · 37 games49% · 122 games
Ember SpiritYoung PH
Ember Spirit
Pangolier
PangolierJhocam
48% · 52 games
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritMeracle
50% · 10 games
Clockwerk
ClockwerkPoloson
60% · 29 games
Game 2prediction correct71:30
Nigma Galaxy SEA 63%Yangon Galacticos 37%
The model gave 63% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 1:11:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyAlaCrity
42% · 42 games52% · 15 games
ClinkzKsh
Clinkz
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerMeracle
38% · 4 games51% · 112 games
Templar AssassinYoung PH
Templar Assassin
Magnus
MagnusinYourdreaM
69% · 22 games
Silencer
SilencerPoloson
29% · 3 games
Lion
LionJhocam
45% · 56 games
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 78%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2