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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxyloss 0:2
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
OmaR · 40 games
55%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
GH · 30 games
77%
Dazzle
Dazzle
GH · 28 games
57%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
GH · 25 games
68%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
OmaR · 25 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
No!ob · 23 games
57%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Davai · 23 games
48%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
Davai · 22 games
86%

BETBOOM TEAM

Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 29 games
62%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 27 games
56%
Kez
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 27 games
78%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 26 games
62%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Kataomi · 25 games
56%
Puck
Pucksignature
gpK~ · 22 games
73%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 21 game
71%
Largo
Largosignature
MieRo · 20 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
577 picks · 408 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
489 picks · 289 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
407 picks · 392 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
365 picks · 485 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
347 picks · 634 bans
56%
Windranger
Windranger
332 picks · 236 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
328 picks · 310 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
315 picks · 463 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 66%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total72% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:35
Nigma Galaxy 37%BETBOOM TEAM 63%
The model gave 63% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 35:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
LycanDavai
58% · 76 games52% · 85 games
Naga SirenKiritych
Naga Siren
Invoker
InvokerSumaiL
45% · 81 game55% · 25 games
LinagpK~
Lina
Viper
ViperLorenof
50% · 88 games44% · 225 games
AxeMieRo
Axe
Hoodwink
HoodwinkOmaR
44% · 265 games48% · 38 games
MiranaSave-
Mirana
Undying
UndyingGH
53% · 108 games55% · 245 games
BaneKataomi
Bane
Game 2prediction correct17:32
Nigma Galaxy 39%BETBOOM TEAM 61%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 49:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckLorenof
53% · 419 games46% · 295 games
KezKiritych
Kez
Tiny
TinySumaiL
46% · 423 games53% · 440 games
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
Centaur Warrunner
Timbersaw
TimbersawDavai
50% · 215 games48% · 499 games
SlardargpK~
Slardar
Hoodwink
HoodwinkOmaR
55% · 483 games46% · 319 games
Shadow ShamanSave-
Shadow Shaman
Bane
BaneGH
55% · 204 games48% · 191 game
UndyingKataomi
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 72%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2