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GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Dubai 2022 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxyloss 1:2
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BOOM Esportswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy

Bane
Banesignature
KuroKy · 7 games
71%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Miracle- · 7 games
71%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Miracle- · 6 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
Miracle- · 6 games
67%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakeroften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 6 games
17%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
GH · 5 games
80%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Miracle- · 5 games
40%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 5 games
60%

BOOM Esports

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Fbz · 26 games
73%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Skem · 20 games
90%
Bane
Banesignature
Skem · 18 games
67%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Tims · 17 games
76%
Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 16 games
63%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 16 games
75%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 15 games
87%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Yopaj · 14 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
537 picks · 365 bans
57%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
470 picks · 577 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
423 picks · 691 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
422 picks · 613 bans
52%
Kunkka
Kunkka
348 picks · 546 bans
53%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
340 picks · 572 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
320 picks · 159 bans
48%
Wraith King
Wraith King
280 picks · 368 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 75%
Hero pool strength64% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:40
Nigma Galaxy 34%BOOM Esports 66%
The model gave 66% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 38:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetMiracle-
57% · 64 games50% · 86 games
JuggernautJaCkky
Juggernaut
Gyrocopter
GyrocopteriLTW
45% · 135 games52% · 65 games
BatriderYopaj
Batrider
Dark Seer
Dark SeerMinD_ContRoL
51% · 58 games52% · 131 game
Death ProphetFbz
Death Prophet
Weaver
WeaverKuroKy
56% · 234 games43% · 171 game
Monkey KingTims
Monkey King
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritGH
46% · 115 games50% · 153 games
DisruptorSkem
Disruptor
Game 2prediction missed42:35
Nigma Galaxy 31%BOOM Esports 69%
The model gave 69% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 49:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaMiracle-
46% · 252 games57% · 167 games
MedusaJaCkky
Medusa
Gyrocopter
GyrocopteriLTW
42% · 113 games43% · 254 games
Queen of PainYopaj
Queen of Pain
Anti-Mage
Anti-MageMinD_ContRoL
57% · 60 games51% · 184 games
Death ProphetFbz
Death Prophet
Weaver
WeaverKuroKy
53% · 289 games56% · 57 games
EarthshakerTims
Earthshaker
Tusk
TuskGH
48% · 121 game51% · 173 games
DisruptorSkem
Disruptor
Game 3prediction correct14:32
Nigma Galaxy 31%BOOM Esports 69%
The model gave 69% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 39:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainMiracle-
47% · 280 games58% · 180 games
MedusaJaCkky
Medusa
Luna
LunaiLTW
46% · 255 games48% · 257 games
SnapfireYopaj
Snapfire
Sand King
Sand KingMinD_ContRoL
42% · 114 games54% · 135 games
BeastmasterFbz
Beastmaster
Clockwerk
ClockwerkGH
50% · 132 games53% · 217 games
WeaverTims
Weaver
Death Prophet
Death ProphetKuroKy
43% · 244 games57% · 236 games
TidehunterSkem
Tidehunter
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 77%
Series resultBOOM Esports 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3