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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxywin 1:0
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Riyadh Chefsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy

Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
GH · 7 games
71%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
GH · 7 games
71%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MinD_ContRoL · 6 games
67%
Chen
Chensignature
KuroKy · 6 games
67%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 5 games
60%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
GH · 5 games
60%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
Yuma · 5 games
80%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
KuroKy · 4 games
75%

Riyadh Chefs

Magnus
Magnusoften banned
OwnedMe · 2 games
50%
Axe
Axe
OwnedMe · 1 game
0%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
OwnedMe · 1 game
100%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
OwnedMe · 1 game
0%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
OwnedMe · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
274 picks · 451 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
252 picks · 395 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
245 picks · 339 bans
53%
Muerta
Muerta
228 picks · 317 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
218 picks · 209 bans
47%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
217 picks · 103 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
200 picks · 501 bans
52%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
195 picks · 369 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% Nigma Galaxy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Nigma Galaxy 77%Riyadh Chefs 23%
The model gave 77% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy · 77%
Series resultNigma Galaxy 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1