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Игры Будущего 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxywin 2:0
series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Phoenixloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy

Mars
Marsoften banned
No!ob · 22 games
45%
Muerta
Muerta
SumaiL · 19 games
47%
Puck
Puckoften banned
SumaiL · 18 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
GH · 18 games
56%
Bane
Banesignature
OmaR · 17 games
76%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
SumaiL · 17 games
53%
Pugna
Pugna
GH · 17 games
41%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
No!ob · 15 games
40%

Team Phoenix

Axe
Axe
Forev · 2 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
DuBu · 2 games
50%
Pugna
Pugna
DuBu · 2 games
0%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
QO · 2 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
DuBu · 2 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Forev · 1 game
100%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Forev · 1 game
0%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knight
MP · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
770 picks · 353 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
609 picks · 304 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
595 picks · 541 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
585 picks · 729 bans
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
550 picks · 545 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
549 picks · 333 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
511 picks · 763 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
508 picks · 596 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total80% Nigma Galaxy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:18
Nigma Galaxy 65%Team Phoenix 35%
The model gave 65% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 38:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonYawaR
55% · 247 games57% · 100 games
JuggernautMP
Juggernaut
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMinD_ContRoL
47% · 312 games52% · 105 games
Shadow FiendQO
Shadow Fiend
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritw33
46% · 315 games54% · 213 games
TidehunterForev
Tidehunter
Muerta
MuertaislA
47% · 194 games45% · 442 games
TuskFebby
Tusk
Elder Titan
Elder TitanNagato
50% · 72 games50% · 280 games
DisruptorDuBu
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct28:12
Nigma Galaxy 66%Team Phoenix 34%
The model gave 66% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 28:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverYawaR
45% · 98 games50% · 58 games
JuggernautMP
Juggernaut
Batrider
Batriderw33
52% · 216 games55% · 136 games
Dark SeerForev
Dark Seer
Abaddon
AbaddonMinD_ContRoL
51% · 260 games53% · 213 games
Ember SpiritQO
Ember Spirit
Lion
LionislA
53% · 81 game40% · 69 games
PudgeFebby
Pudge
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiNagato
51% · 52 games49% · 231 game
WarlockDuBu
Warlock
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy · 80%
Series resultNigma Galaxy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2