Игры Будущего 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxyloss 0:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
WWinwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nigma Galaxy
Marsoften banned
No!ob · 22 games
Puckoften banned
SumaiL · 20 games
Muerta
SumaiL · 19 games
Beastmasteroften banned
No!ob · 18 games
Banesignature
OmaR · 17 games
Tusksignature
GH · 17 games
Batrideroften banned
OmaR · 16 games
Elder Titan
GH · 15 games
Win
Abaddonoften banned
iLTW · 1 game
Ancient Apparition
Xakoda · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
egxrdemxn · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
rostislav_999 · 1 game
Iooften banned
rostislav_999 · 1 game
Kez
iLTW · 1 game
Pudge
OneJey · 1 game
Slardaroften banned
egxrdemxn · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
780 picks · 360 bans
Hoodwink
613 picks · 305 bans
Jakiro
589 picks · 508 bans
Dragon Knight
575 picks · 719 bans
Disruptor
555 picks · 552 bans
Tusk
542 picks · 328 bans
Mars
510 picks · 761 bans
Centaur Warrunner
504 picks · 577 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% Win
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Nigma Galaxy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:34
Nigma Galaxy 54%Win 46%
The model gave 54% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Win in 26:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless VoidYawaR
TerrorbladeiLTW
Invokerw33
Primal Beastrostislav_999
SlardarMinD_ContRoL
Tidehunteregxrdemxn
Void SpiritislA
Shadow DemonOneJey
WarlockNagato
BaneXakoda
Game 2prediction missed36:46
Nigma Galaxy 54%Win 46%
The model gave 54% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Win in 39:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AbaddonYawaR
GyrocopteriLTW
Pudgew33
Slardaregxrdemxn
Centaur WarrunnerMinD_ContRoL
Elder Titanrostislav_999
JakiroNagato
Skywrath MageOneJey
TuskislA
ClockwerkXakoda
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy · 58%
Series resultWin 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2