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DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO5
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxywin 3:0
series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 3:0
Zone Academyloss 0:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy

Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Fbz · 17 games
76%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
GH · 17 games
88%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
GH · 15 games
53%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
GH · 13 games
77%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
SumaiL · 11 games
73%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Miracle- · 10 games
60%
Rubick
Rubick
SumaiL · 10 games
40%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Miracle- · 10 games
40%

Zone Academy

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
348 picks · 258 bans
45%
Snapfire
Snapfire
342 picks · 279 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
331 picks · 448 bans
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
315 picks · 365 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
315 picks · 308 bans
50%
Windranger
Windranger
307 picks · 432 bans
52%
Enchantress
Enchantress
302 picks · 519 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
299 picks · 486 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 67%
Hero pool strength58% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total90% Nigma Galaxy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:9
Nigma Galaxy 90%Zone Academy 10%
The model gave 90% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 16:49.
Game 2prediction correct36:19
Nigma Galaxy 90%Zone Academy 10%
The model gave 90% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 31:31.
Game 3prediction correct18:6
Nigma Galaxy 90%Zone Academy 10%
The model gave 90% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 9:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy · 90%
Series resultNigma Galaxy 3:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3