BetBoom Streamers Battle 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nix Teamwin 2:1series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:1
GoodWin Teamloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nix Team
Baneoften banned
Lukawa · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
xannii · 1 game
Rubick
Nix · 1 game
Techies
alagon · 1 game
Timbersawoften banned
bowbowbow · 1 game
GoodWin Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
435 picks · 369 bans
Hoodwink
426 picks · 462 bans
Weaver
391 picks · 839 bans
Tiny
385 picks · 868 bans
Phoenix
371 picks · 768 bans
Pangolier
365 picks · 533 bans
Clockwerk
338 picks · 508 bans
Ember Spirit
322 picks · 617 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)83% vs 75%
Hero pool strength57% Nix Team
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total62% Nix Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed46:34
Nix Team 62%GoodWin Team 38%
The model gave 62% on Nix Team — the game was taken by GoodWin Team in 57:55.
Game 2prediction correct28:6
Nix Team 62%GoodWin Team 38%
The model gave 62% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 20:40.
Game 3prediction correct34:32
Nix Team 62%GoodWin Team 38%
The model gave 62% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 55:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteNix Team · 62%
Series resultNix Team 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3