BetBoom Streamers Battle 5 · BO1
result vs prediction
Nix Teamloss 0:1series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Stray Teamwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nix Team
No games played over 6 months.
Stray Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
306 picks · 451 bans
Phoenix
277 picks · 413 bans
Grimstroke
264 picks · 445 bans
Lion
239 picks · 217 bans
Vengeful Spirit
236 picks · 129 bans
Nature's Prophet
230 picks · 660 bans
Tusk
230 picks · 215 bans
Pangolier
228 picks · 316 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Nix Team
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total68% Nix Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:11
Nix Team 68%Stray Team 32%
The model gave 68% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 34:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteNix Team · 68%
Series resultStray Team 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1